Numbers – Dolphins vs. Chiefs

The numbers look every bit as bad as you would expect in the loss to Miami Sunday at Arrowhead. But here’s a new one for you to crunch on:

Miami ran 47 plays (24 runs, 23 passes) and scored 31 points. The Chiefs ran 73 plays (34 runs and 39 passes) and scored 3 points. If you discount Miami’s three kneel-downs at the end of the game, the Dolphins scored seven-tenths of a point per play. The Chiefs scored three-one-hundredths of a point per play.

Here are just a few of the highlights – or lowlights if you prefer:

  • The Chiefs allowed the Dolphins more than 10 yards every time they passed.
  • The Chiefs had no sacks and did not force a turnover.
  • While the overall rushing defense looks acceptable with holding the Dolphins to 3 yards or less on 12 of the 24 carries, three of quarterback Matt Moore’s runs were kneel-downs for minus-2 yards. That effectively means the Dolphins averaged more than 5 yards per rushing carry and that doesn’t even factor in the 38-yard run to the Chiefs 6 that was called back for offsetting penalties on the Dolphins first drive.
  • From the start of the second quarter to early in the third, the Chiefs called 17 passing plays. Quarterback Matt Cassel had to scramble or was sacked on nine of them. This was at a time when the Chiefs trailed by no more than 14-3.

CHIEFS DEFENSE

Opponent Rushing

Runs/Yds* 

3-less 

4-plus 

Big play 

Def. Succ.* 

Avg. 

Dolphins

21-109

12 

9 

3 

12 

5.19

* Averages don’t count kneel downs or scrambles. Defensive success does not include short runs for a first down or kneel-downs at the end of a half or game.

Passing

Total

Less than 7 

7-10 yards 

10-plus 

Avg/Att* 

Dolphins 

17-23-244-3TD-0INT

6 

1 

10 

10.61

Sacks by down

Game 

First

Second

Third

Total

Passing situation* 

Dolphins 

0

0 

Season 

1

6 

2 

9 

6 

*Passing situation defined as second- or third-and-long (more than 6), two-minute drill or second half when down by more than two scores.

Turnover ratio by game

 

Chiefs

Opponents

 
Opponent

Interception

Fumble 

Interception

Fumble 

Ratio

Buffalo (L) 

1

1

-2

Detroit (L)

3

1

-5

San Diego (L) 

1

2

+1

Minnesota (W) 

0

1

+1

Indianapolis (W) 

0

0

0

Oakland (W) 

2

6

+4

San Diego (W) 

2

2

0

Miami (L) 

0

0 

0

0 

0

CHIEFS OFFENSE

The Chiefs were relatively balanced in the first half and they were still in the game down 14-3. They had more first downs, had run twice as many plays and held a huge advantage in time of possession. But there were troubling indications.

The Chiefs had called 15 running plays (discounting five scrambles by quarterback Matt Cassel.) They had completed just nine of 24 called passing plays (including sacks and scrambles as called passing plays.) At the half, Jackie Battle had seven winning running plays in his 11 carries. Dexter McCluster even appeared effective with an 11-yard gainer on his only carry.

But two key things happened at the start of the third quarter. After stopping the Dolphins on the first possession of the second half, the Chiefs couldn’t take advantage of a 22-yard punt return by Dexter McCluster. That drive ended with the botched field goal after being unable to convert a third-and-19.

Four plays later the Dolphins led 21-3 and from that point the Chiefs were in pass-first mode. Battle never carried the ball after the 10-minute mark of the third quarter. After the 8-yard pass to McCluster on third-and-19, Cassel had to scramble or threw incomplete on six of the next seven passes. On the Chiefs final five possessions, they passed 27 times and ran seven.

Cassel’s passing statistics

Passing

Total

Less than 7 

7-10 yards 

10-plus

Avg/Att*

Dolphins 

20-39-253-0T-0I

4

7

9

5.0

* Includes sacks and subsequent minus yardage and scrambles and plus-yardage.

Receiver

Target

Catches

Yards

Big plays

Bowe 

10

6

88

4

Breaston 

11

7

115

4

Baldwin 

5

1

12

1

McCLain 

1

1

4

0

McCluster 

4

1

8

0

Pope 

2

1

9

0

Colbert 

1

1 

5 

0 

Battle 

2

1 

9 

0 

O’Connell

3

1

3

0

Totals 

39

20

253

9

Running game

vs. Dolphins

4 or more

3 or less 

Big runs 

Winning plays 

Battle (14-40)

7

7

0

8 

Jones (3-5)

1

2

1

McCluster (7-36)

6

1

1

1

Cassel (9-38) 

2

2 

Conquitt (1- -3)

0

1

0

Total (32-94) 

11

21 

2 

11 

* Battle had a 1-yard carry for a first down.

BIG PICTURE

The Chiefs still are tied for first/third place in the AFC West thanks to parity, NFL style. But they lost a second game at home, making it more difficult to get to that nine- or 10-win level and the playoffs.

AFC WEST

Vs. AFC East 

Vs. NFC No. 

Other 

Vs. AFC West 

Chiefs 4-4

L/Bills (H)

L/Dolphins (H)

At Patriots

At Jets 

L/Lions (R)

W/Vikings (H)

At Chicago

Vs. Packers 

W/Colts (R)

Vs. Steelers 

L/Chargers (R)

W/Raiders (R)

W/Chargers (H) 

Chargers 4-4

L/Patriots (R)

W/Miami (H)

L/Jets (R)

Vs. Bills 

W/Vikings (H)

L/Packers (H)

At Bears

At Lions 

At Jaguars

Vs. Ravens

W/Chiefs (H)

W/Broncos (R)

L/Chiefs (R) 

Raiders 4-4

L/Bills (R)

W/Jets (H)

L/Patriots (H)

At Dolphins 

At Vikings

Vs. Bears

At Packers

Vs. Detroit 

W/Texans (R)

W/Browns (H) 

W/Broncos (R)

L/Chiefs (H)

L/Broncos (H)

Broncos 3-5

W/Dolphins (R)

At Buffalo

Vs. Jets

Vs. Patriots 

L/Packers (R)

L/Lions (H)

Vs. Chicago

At Minnesota 

W/Bengals (H)

L/Titans (R)

L/Raiders (H)

L/Chargers (H)

W/Raiders (R) 


2 Responses to “Numbers – Dolphins vs. Chiefs”

  • November 7, 2011  - aPauled says:

    Nice article Kent. The numbers really tell the story. For a playoff shot we’re probably looking at having to sweep the Broncos, beat the Raiders again, beat Pittsburgh at home and then win at Chicago or at New York. That would put us at 9 wins, 5-1 in the division and probably the tie breaker. Note: The Steelers and Raiders games will be on 6 days rest coming off of the Patriots and Packers games. Hope we get that figured out as we can’t throw the “tired” excuse card again.


  • November 8, 2011  - Chuck says:

    I just think you turn the page on this game and don’t look back. There is nothing in the rear view mirror that you want to see.




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