Chiefs First-Round Pick Depends on Flip

With the end of the regular season, we can now piece together the order of selections for the first round of the 2012 NFL Draft.

Picks No. 1 through 20 are set. The other 12 slots will be filled by the teams in the playoffs.

The Chiefs will either draft at No. 11 or No. 12 and they won’t know that until the NFL Combine at the end of February in Indianapolis. That’s when the league will flip a coin and the No. 11 pick will be decided between the Chiefs and Seattle Seahawks.

Both teams finished with 7-9 records and they have the same strength of schedule with a .512 winning percentage. The same thing will happen at picks No. 8 and9 where Carolina and Miami have matching 6-10 records and the same .504 winning percentage on the strength of schedule.

Remember, for draft order the league’s strength of schedule means position goes to the team that had the lower strength of schedule. The idea being that if a team goes say 5-11 like Washington against a .477 winning percentage deserves a higher spot than Jacksonville with the same record but a .500 winning percentage for their opponents.

How much did beating Denver cost the Chiefs in draft position? Had they lost, they would have ended up drafting at No. 10.

Here’s how the first round will go:

 

Pick

 

Team

 

Record

Schedule/

Strength

1.

Indianapolis

2-14

.539

2.

St. Louis

2-14

.590

3.

Minnesota

3-13

.559

4.

Cleveland

4-12

.531

5.

Tampa Bay

4-12

.551

6.

Washington

5-11

.477

7.

Jacksonville

5-11

.500

8.t

Carolina

6-10

.504

8.t

Miami

6-10

.504

10.

Buffalo

6-10

.520

11.t

CHIEFS

7-9

.512

11.t

Seattle

7-9

.512

13.

Arizona

8-8

.469

14.

Dallas

8-8

.473

15.

Philadelphia

8-8

.488

16.

N.Y. Jets

8-8

.500

17.

Cincinnati/from Oak

8-8

.504

18.

San Diego

8-8

.516

19.

Chicago

8-8

.527

20.

Tennessee

9-7

.461

Among the 12 teams that are still active, Cleveland has Atlanta’s first-round selection and New England holds New Orleans’ first-rounder due to trades last season.


3 Responses to “Chiefs First-Round Pick Depends on Flip”

  • January 2, 2012  - Milkman says:

    It is still a travesty that Indianapolis has a chance to draft a second elite quarterback (says ALL the draft analysts) while the Chiefs still have not drafted their first. I’ll never be convinced they did not do that by design at some level.


  • January 2, 2012  - chewbone says:

    That happens in the NBA not the NFL!


  • January 2, 2012  - Michael says:

    Milkman, I agree with you. No one will admit to it, but it’s the truth. Why wouldn’t a team? You’re talking about, potentially, 10 years of success for your team. That’s a lot of money at stake. Of course, it can’t look too improbable. The Colts were set up perfectly to do it.




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